Mafia 31. Twilight Dances.

Maybe the Lizardman did find a clue about the Archer. In any case, the clues for both suspects are of the same difficulty, or rather, ease. I reread the description of the Avenger, and here's what I didn't like:

3) Claws - if the Governor, Advisor, and Matriarch are dead, then he has a 50% chance of surviving execution.

We already have either the Governor or the Advisor dead. Our guaranteed chance of executing the Avenger has decreased by a third. If the Mafia attacks the remaining member of the Governor/Advisor pair at night, and the Avenger kills the Matriarch (not very likely, but still possible), then the Avenger gets his 50% protection.

That is, tomorrow we might not be able to execute him. As for the Archer, we will definitely execute her tomorrow.

So, the objective situation:
1. We execute the Avenger now - the Mafia kills 1 townsperson at night, and we execute the Archer during the day.
2. We execute the Archer now - the Mafia kills 1 townsperson at night, the Avenger kills 1 townsperson/Mafia, and we execute the Avenger with a 50% probability during the day.

In the second option, we have a chance of losing two people instead of one at night and not executing a Mafia member in the morning. I am leaning towards executing the Avenger today and the Archer tomorrow.

Suddenly, an interesting observation. I like this interpretation of the clue. Should I vote?

Suddenly, the only person who could be indicated by the "fang" stirred and immediately agreed with Rimple's candidacy.

How interesting, and I was already starting to think that my clue was too far-fetched... This is what's good about the moments when Mafia candidates are chosen for execution - the right people get activated. Suddenly, yes.:smile26: