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Too clever, Gil. And that's exactly what I was talking about when I mentioned whether they "would have succeeded" or "would have believed." I don't believe it. The herd has several leaders. The leaders are too confident in their opinions – they won't change their vote. The herd follows the leaders – the vote won't change. In the end, it will all come down to one thing...
And what if the Jester isn't among the voters? Maybe he overslept. Or got carried away playing with masks... Anything can happen; I'm just hoping for the best!