Gil4
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I won't express my opinion on the players' behavior yet (although, I will share one as the story progresses). But I will share my thoughts about the nighttime actions.
First, I'll say that it was foolish of me to think of Vega as a vagrant. There was a clue, but in my haste, I missed one phrase: "It seems that tonight he didn't bring a four-leaf clover..." Next, I had one thought: what if the phrase in the lawyer's description ("False Will – confuses the target for the selected player. The Lawyer indicates who the target is redirected to; if it coincides with the original target, the Lawyer does not report this.") means that he doesn't just not find out about the failure until he reads the newspaper. What if the redirection is only indicated in the newspaper if it happens after the player's action? And thus, if the player's action happens after the redirection, what if the player immediately goes to the new target, instead of changing it? Let's look at what actions are possible before the redirection:
1. The economist blocks.
2. The opium smoker blocks.
3. The detective sends a report.
We can rule out the detective's report immediately - it's too early. The opium smoker's block was successful. Logically, the economist's block should also have been successful, because she could have simply locked the door and left. What does this lead us to? If the change of target is not indicated in the newspaper for actions that happen after the redirection, this leaves only one possibility: Veg was the economist, comparing the statuses of Leang and Ple-sen. In other situations, it would turn out that the action started (for example, protection), then the lawyer came and changed the target - the protection was transferred to another player. Moreover, it would turn out that the Mafia somehow caught Vega off guard when he hadn't fully switched to another target yet. Unfortunately, due to the phrase about "loyalty to his cause," I can't insist on my version - I need to ask Slonysh about this detail of the mechanics, regarding the description in the newspaper of the redirection. But I will say one thing: there must have been either an economist's block or a status comparison. The block could only have been in the situation with Hos. The comparison is only here. If we determine whether Hos was blocked, or if it was just a literary description, we will understand who Vega was.
Let's move on to the newspaper.
Zedzi, as already mentioned, could have been not only a postman but also a doctor. But if he were a doctor, would he go to treat someone on the very first night? The opium smoker won't go to kill anyone on the first night. The chance of one of the two killers randomly hitting Lady Beatrice on the first night is too small. The chance of the Mafia hitting a player with a protector (i.e., also causing an injury) is also small. Finally, two Mafias in a row eliminate the doctor on the first night, purely by chance? This is not an argument, of course, but the chances of this happening are very small (specifically, 1 in 121 without protectors and without taking the Mafia into account). I'm still leaning towards the fact that Zedzi was a postman, and the phrase about the bag and preparing to leave is a literary part of the description; the postman needs to deliver the morning newspapers, plus the mail. However, of course, we cannot rule out the possibility that Zedzi was a doctor. And here is the moment about the behavior that I wanted to share. Leang, did you decide to play the fool? :D On the very first night, the Mafia boss is going to kill someone, even though he also has to provide additional clues? Even "he might have thought" sounds stupid. (I will only start thinking about the clues now; it was problematic without the internet.)
Let's move on to Arandor. Given the male voice, he could have been checked by the butler or Hastings. But the butler is unlikely to have checked on the first night instead of protecting. Although I don't rule out this possibility, because the description is more like checking if the person is in their place, rather than checking their status. In addition, Vega was definitely not a protector then.
Hostor was protected by Tapman - I don't know why I didn't realize this right away. He's like a default - he sleeps in the room. So he moved the poor guy's chair closer to the fireplace to keep warm. That's why, if the butler was checking Ara, Vega couldn't have been a protector - they were both busy. The closed door is interesting. Is it an economist's block? There is no certainty in any of the options.
The vagrant came to Ta. Pandor, again, could have been checked by the butler, but I doubt this option based on the description. I'm leaning towards checking the senior maid.
Based on the Mafia's actions, this leads to the following conclusions:
1. The opium smoker blocked WhiteLizard.
2. Jane killed Zedzi.
3. The lawyer redirected the action. Here, the question about the mechanics is important - either we don't know whose action was redirected, or it concerned Vega.
In any case, the score is already 8/5/1... It would be very good to figure out the clue about Jane today.
P.S. Ar, yes, the protagonist of the DMC series is called Dante, although in the fourth part, more than half of the game is not played as him. And also, for everyone - call me Gil. My nickname is pronounced "Gill," from the medieval name Gilford, and I'm called Gil for short.
First, I'll say that it was foolish of me to think of Vega as a vagrant. There was a clue, but in my haste, I missed one phrase: "It seems that tonight he didn't bring a four-leaf clover..." Next, I had one thought: what if the phrase in the lawyer's description ("False Will – confuses the target for the selected player. The Lawyer indicates who the target is redirected to; if it coincides with the original target, the Lawyer does not report this.") means that he doesn't just not find out about the failure until he reads the newspaper. What if the redirection is only indicated in the newspaper if it happens after the player's action? And thus, if the player's action happens after the redirection, what if the player immediately goes to the new target, instead of changing it? Let's look at what actions are possible before the redirection:
1. The economist blocks.
2. The opium smoker blocks.
3. The detective sends a report.
We can rule out the detective's report immediately - it's too early. The opium smoker's block was successful. Logically, the economist's block should also have been successful, because she could have simply locked the door and left. What does this lead us to? If the change of target is not indicated in the newspaper for actions that happen after the redirection, this leaves only one possibility: Veg was the economist, comparing the statuses of Leang and Ple-sen. In other situations, it would turn out that the action started (for example, protection), then the lawyer came and changed the target - the protection was transferred to another player. Moreover, it would turn out that the Mafia somehow caught Vega off guard when he hadn't fully switched to another target yet. Unfortunately, due to the phrase about "loyalty to his cause," I can't insist on my version - I need to ask Slonysh about this detail of the mechanics, regarding the description in the newspaper of the redirection. But I will say one thing: there must have been either an economist's block or a status comparison. The block could only have been in the situation with Hos. The comparison is only here. If we determine whether Hos was blocked, or if it was just a literary description, we will understand who Vega was.
Let's move on to the newspaper.
Zedzi, as already mentioned, could have been not only a postman but also a doctor. But if he were a doctor, would he go to treat someone on the very first night? The opium smoker won't go to kill anyone on the first night. The chance of one of the two killers randomly hitting Lady Beatrice on the first night is too small. The chance of the Mafia hitting a player with a protector (i.e., also causing an injury) is also small. Finally, two Mafias in a row eliminate the doctor on the first night, purely by chance? This is not an argument, of course, but the chances of this happening are very small (specifically, 1 in 121 without protectors and without taking the Mafia into account). I'm still leaning towards the fact that Zedzi was a postman, and the phrase about the bag and preparing to leave is a literary part of the description; the postman needs to deliver the morning newspapers, plus the mail. However, of course, we cannot rule out the possibility that Zedzi was a doctor. And here is the moment about the behavior that I wanted to share. Leang, did you decide to play the fool? :D On the very first night, the Mafia boss is going to kill someone, even though he also has to provide additional clues? Even "he might have thought" sounds stupid. (I will only start thinking about the clues now; it was problematic without the internet.)
Let's move on to Arandor. Given the male voice, he could have been checked by the butler or Hastings. But the butler is unlikely to have checked on the first night instead of protecting. Although I don't rule out this possibility, because the description is more like checking if the person is in their place, rather than checking their status. In addition, Vega was definitely not a protector then.
Hostor was protected by Tapman - I don't know why I didn't realize this right away. He's like a default - he sleeps in the room. So he moved the poor guy's chair closer to the fireplace to keep warm. That's why, if the butler was checking Ara, Vega couldn't have been a protector - they were both busy. The closed door is interesting. Is it an economist's block? There is no certainty in any of the options.
The vagrant came to Ta. Pandor, again, could have been checked by the butler, but I doubt this option based on the description. I'm leaning towards checking the senior maid.
Based on the Mafia's actions, this leads to the following conclusions:
1. The opium smoker blocked WhiteLizard.
2. Jane killed Zedzi.
3. The lawyer redirected the action. Here, the question about the mechanics is important - either we don't know whose action was redirected, or it concerned Vega.
In any case, the score is already 8/5/1... It would be very good to figure out the clue about Jane today.
P.S. Ar, yes, the protagonist of the DMC series is called Dante, although in the fourth part, more than half of the game is not played as him. And also, for everyone - call me Gil. My nickname is pronounced "Gill," from the medieval name Gilford, and I'm called Gil for short.
Even if we fight, even if there’s such thing
I will not give up
Just like this, I won't let go
Strongly grasping your right hand’s warmth
I’ll be here
