I read the 5th post, and it seems like nonsense to me.
You can determine the range of the box's contents based on its guard, but only the range, without knowing the exact contents (experience, gold, etc.). Because at each Value level, there are magic items, experience, troops, and experience.
Sometimes you can estimate how close the guard is to one end of the specified range, but this depends on the contents of the spawn point, if there are "windows" in the ranges of the contents.
Added 7 minutes later
If we're talking about the type of contents, then a random guess will give you 25% (there are only 4 options). Therefore, 60% is a normal result.
But on the other hand, experience is placed much more often, so if you always say "experience" for all Pandora boxes, I think you can get around 35-40 percent.
That is, to prove the validity of the theory, I think 50% accurate guesses of the contents will be enough (it is clear that if you guess the type of contents, it will not be difficult to determine its exact amount).
Wicc, the conversation here is about "papacy," so a satisfactory result is considered to be 80% or higher, and 90% is a mega-guru
Зима 2011-12.