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I have some thoughts on why luck played a role: mana (presumably, Arador) was blocked, a mage (I don't know which one) was trying to kill the crab (this is obvious), and the third mage was also blocked (this, I think, was Thorium).
From all this, I conclude: I don't trust Arador, Thorium, and Morning (my attitude towards Locke is the best; he might turn out to be a good guy or an angel who can be eliminated tomorrow).
Also, I want to publicly apologize to Happy. When I realized she was a pirate, the day was already over (I hadn't read the executions yet). I figured it out based on her behavior combined with the note about Gur. Yes, Gur is suspicious, so I won't trust him either. And I advise you to pay attention.
Yes, I'll ask, for the future, next time, please never shorten the day, no matter who asks! Everyone has the right to speak!
Execute Arador! I don't believe his "method." Yes, Ar, I'm one of those peaceful players who no longer listen to you because you're almost always wrong about the roles.
Added after 3 minutes
Yes, if everyone starts trying to eliminate Locke, I'll go with the "crowd" because I don't care anymore.