I hope the "majority of cases" where you are absolutely certain you are right don't happen too often.
Well, he really messed up, didn't he?
More precisely, it's a modified idiom, or something similar. In my opinion, the comma isn't needed.
Added 1 minute ago
P.S. Lock and Vis, just each of you explain your reasoning. Lock, if you're sure you're right, is it so difficult for you to justify it?