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Club championship of the CIS countries (final).

#122
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Preds(1) (red, Stronghold, Crag) vs Stinger(1) (blue, Castle, Valeska) @ 8mm6a, win probability 2 75%
Medium(1) (red, Fortress, Tazar) vs Lexa(1) (blue, Castle, Valeska) @8mm6a, win probability 1 60%
Roland(1) (red, Conflux) vs Pit(1) (blue, Necropolis) @ 8xm12a, win probability 2 50%
Mee(1) (red, Inferno, Marius) vs Bayazet(0.5) (blue, Necropolis) @ 2sm4d(3), win probability 2 60%
Aldegir(0.5) (red, Stronghold, Gurnisson) vs Vitalic(0.5) (blue, Castle, Valeska) @ 2sm4d(3), win probability 2 60%
Piterius(0.5) (red, Inferno, Pyre) vs Wowa(0) (blue, Castle, Valeska) @ 8mm6a, win probability 1 65%
Volodimir(0) (red, Rampart, Kyrre) vs Merlin(0) (blue, Fortress, Tazar) @ 2sm4d(3), win probability 1 65%
NeoAndy(0) (red, Fortress, Tazar) vs Napalm(0) (blue, Castle, Valeska) @ 2sm4d(3), win probability 2 60%
Alone(0) (red, Dungeon, Shackty) vs Kobra(0) (blue, Fortress, Broghild) @ 8mm6a, win probability 2 80%

Bayazet (red, Dungeon, Gynnar) vs Vitalic (blue, Rampart, Kyrre) @ Jebus, win probability 2 65%

I calculated the win probabilities based on the castle matchups and my knowledge of the players' experience and preferences in these matchups.