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I also try not to take small external dwellings for the dungeon, preferring to first search for higher-level external dwellings around the respawn. But this is a different case: a stronghold start, the secondary dungeon is taken by the end of the week, when 1 external dwelling of harpies, 2 of gnolls, and 1 of lizardmen have already been flagged. I'm wondering what the probability will be that harpies appear in the portal of summoning — 1/4 or 1/3? If the probability is calculated based on the number of external dwelling types, then I can safely take the 3rd and 4th gnoll dwellings, since the first two were already flagged earlier. If it's based on the simple number of external dwellings, then it's better not to take extra gnoll dwellings.