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Yeah, it's turning out too well for the town and the second Mafia, especially since the chance is quite small (although, if you remember the Mafia game about the X-Men, where Drink stole my Night Detective and killed a Mafia member, then it turned out well). It's worth preparing for the worst, but hoping for the best.
P.S. I don't like the first days; they're always difficult clues.