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Okay... Hello everyone :) (Wow - judging by the first newspaper, the festive atmosphere is great! Seriously!)
Kyle didn't survive the first night after all! :( Apparently, envious people from the previous Mafia also made it here! :)
Now, my thoughts:
1) It's clear that the Baker visited Tanya.
2) Kyle was going to Ara... This means Kyle had Night Vision. That's all we can say for now.
3) Judging by the bucket and carrot, Kyle was a Snowman (i.e., NOT Mafia).
4) There was only one murder, but it seems that several people visited Kyle (or rather, Arandor!) today.... Therefore, I assume that, for example, two people might have tried to kill Kyle - a Mobster and a Mafia member, or both Mobsters. And the third killer might have been blocked by the Expert (with his check).
5) It's also possible that one of the killers was blocked by the Snow Maiden...
6) Kyle could have been a Lazy One and died instead of Ara... That is, it could have been like this: one killer (it doesn't matter - Mafia or Mobster) was blocked. The second went to kill Ara (Kyle died). The third killed Kyle himself, but was too late...
Clues - I'll think about it.... And I'm still not very clear about Mold...