Avern
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Minimal development (Wyverns in the fort without cows), development of the Mage Guild in the secondary town up to level 4. Taking conservatories using magic. Even if there had been no Armageddon scroll, Luna could have won the battle using resurrection and a Lightning Bolt dealing 330 damage. Although of course, there could have been a lot of strategic play later where Alex apparently should have won.
Hotyun broke into the secondary town late, although the guards at the passages are not the strongest, and the starting army is quite decent. Hence the weak development - very little territory and money were claimed, not because Hotyun went for the high-tier units. And since when does extra meat hinder a mage?
Secondly, what catches the eye is the late taking of the Shield of the Ogre (+5 Def) with 42 Nomads on week 2. Moreover, Westan took it, although Luna was handling it on days 4-5 with just Flies (meanwhile, there was a well near the capital and a Dungeon with a mana doubler). And after that - such a great taking of conservatories specifically by Luna?
So Hotyun won thanks to Armageddon, and only because ATG got himself into an unfortunate position.
