Мафия 4. The Smell of Money.

Exactly, it would be too obvious if they just barged in. The lockpicking could indicate that someone from the Triad was involved, and definitely not just a random thief... although it could also be a corrupt cop.
And you're acting suspiciously. You weren't identified last time, even though you were a Demonologist, so it's very likely that you're hiding your true identity. Besides, my intuition tells me that you're Mafia, and a Boss at that, and it seems like you're from the Triad.