That's a great question, I never thought about it before!
The wiki says it's calculated like this:
probability = 1 - (1 - base probability)^3
At the same time, the base probability is always in the range [0.05; 0.75], meaning the bracket will always be less than 1, and the higher the power, the smaller the bracket, and the HIGHER the probability.
So, you need to decrease the value to reduce the chance.
..... I'll probably write an example, just in case, because I got confused three times and only fixed the last mistake while writing this example!
Let's take a base probability of 0.75, then it will be like this:
x = 1 - (1 - 0.75)^3 = 1 - 0.25^3 = 0.984375 - this is the maximum probability, but if you replace 3 with 1, it will already be equal to 0.75
For this result, the total health of the vampires must be 17 times greater than the health of the enemy unit.