Knights of Tezoth

Round 10, battle 6.
Milady Chonchonlia Quintea V Milady Stefania Valentine

Chonchonlia flies up and throws Pumpkin 2. AP (1/7).
Stefania takes 50-30=20 (180/200) damage. Paralysis -, Burn +.
Pegasus takes (crit) 100 damage (150/250). Paralysis +, Burn -.
Chonchonlia shoots the pegasus hard. AP (0/7).
Pegasus takes 160 damage (-10/250) and leaves the battle. Chonchonlia gains 1 pumpkin charge (1/3).

Neira, your call: preemptive strike, precise shot, regular shot, or lightning shot...

What's her chance of dodging my lightning shot?

55% hit, 45% miss.

That's a bit grim. Well, I didn't like this woman from the start anyway.

If she paralyzes me, can I fire back with a preemptive attack right after skipping my turn? How much damage will the burn deal me?

You'll be able to fire back. The burn will chip away 40 HP. But the catch is, if you don't kill her now, you'll lose. She'll just fly around and wait for you to burn through all your heals and go up in flames... heh)