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In short, I was thinking about why there was only one action from the Mafia in the first night. What were the other two? I'm still leaning towards the idea that the Mafia used redirection, but for some reason, it didn't work. And Zhen Lo is the one who redirects. What's noteworthy about that? The fact that she's female. And even before the discussion about Alma's movements began on the first day, Tox suddenly conspicuously mentioned femininity in the context of Alma potentially visiting him and blocking him. Although, realistically, they knew that Alma was only going around killing Mafia and the Gunslinger. It wouldn't occur to me to go around killing someone randomly in the first 1-2 nights, when there's a chance of killing Chinax and getting killed by him in return. And Tox, as if "carefully," revealed his role as a Gunslinger and subtly hinted at Alma's visit.