Граф Орлов
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Okay, let's do the math. Let's assume that the Mafia is successfully killed every night, and the pain doesn't escalate.
NNV: Night 6-3, day 5-3, there's even room for error; it will then be 3-3, but we have an unkillable pain.
Killing a town member: Night 5-3, day 4-3, if we make another mistake, we lose, unless Pain pulls it off.
Killing a Mafia member: Night 6-2, day 5-2, let's assume we make one mistake; then night 4-2, day 3-2, we kill the Mafia member and win 2-1.
NNV doesn't give us extra room for error; the only thing we'll get is extra information from the newspaper, but there isn't much of it anyway without a blocker. I wouldn't rely too much on Pain, considering the Mafia has a blocker, a main Mafia member protection, and a possible mistake from the town protector.
Let's take the risk. **Kill Arandor.**
E si sui vius, er mi grans benananza,
e si ieu muoir, er mi grans deliuriers
e si ieu muoir, er mi grans deliuriers