Mafia 107. Fever and Overdose

Morning, do you remember a game where a maniac started killing people from the very first night?

I can't even remember the last game I played, what are you talking about? And if we're talking generally, then dozens. With one Mafia and two, one Maniac and two. We've had situations where the townies went to kill people on the first night, playing for a win.

Ultimately, we still have the same two options today: skip another day, or execute someone without evidence. We won't be able to execute Nebo today anyway because he's "at the dacha." If we don't skip a day, we'll have to somehow force a check on the others. Our options are: search for the maniac in other blocks (thereby eliminating the need to confirm the theory about Nebo), analyze behavior (which can always be dismissed as an argument with almost anything), or other indirect clues. In our Soviet times, people were executed for saying the wrong things or even just for inactivity – the old-timers know this.
I just want to remind everyone, so that it sticks in their heads and they can process it by tomorrow evening, when we'll have to go to the night phase again, or choose someone.

Stop!
"Covering with protections" sounds very cool, but how does the immunity or lack thereof of the father, as well as the father's inaction or action, affect how many immune people are in the Mafia overall? Two of them definitely have natural protections, and the third (the liar) has what he has. Yes, you can protect him with a monster if he has no immunity, but you know, it's one thing to have a chance for the Maniac to end up in some Mafia member, and another thing to protect a specific person, even if he's not immune, when there are no prerequisites and skipping the kill is an option.

Well, yes, two have built-in protections, and two don't. If you want, you can divide your "overall" in half for this theory. If there are immunities, you can relax, have the father attack and/or spend the third night action on a check, rather than protection. If there are no immunities, you can protect yourself by having the father sit out and/or protecting the liar. The liar blocked, the father attacked, as we see in the end – this could very well indicate that both of them were protected. We won't see a monster protection or a reaper check, but the father didn't sit out. Statistically, there is a good chance that Mafia members are among the immune (almost half of the players), and given that the father was active, it is likely that this was not the worst-case scenario, in which both of their vulnerable roles remain open on the first night. Accordingly, 1+ Mafia member is likely among the immune. I think there are even more, based on the overall feeling – the activity of the immune and the content of their posts. But we don't have 100% information about anyone, and it's not certain that we ever will. Even Nebo could have ended up in bad company and been set up, while the real maniac, for example, is just using non-lethal night actions. But we need to gradually outline some kind of picture.

Added 9 minutes ago

And that's why it's easy to promote the immunity theme as a false lead. Nice try, and now Ment has joined in, just like you asked.

Okay. I've already indicated my candidates in the previous post – Gumer and Freud. Zero messages in the game, both immune, although they did visit the thread. Once upon a time, this was considered Mafia behavior, and it also fits the immunity theory.

Do you have any leads?