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Mafia 107. Fever and Overdose

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#143
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Continuing yesterday's thought about the father's inaction... At first, it seemed far-fetched, but after thinking about it a bit, I started to like it. To reiterate its essence: 7 immune players out of 13 in the first night. If we assume that three or four immune players were assigned to the Mafia, there is a non-zero probability that the Mafia could randomly kill one of them simply because there weren't many other targets. In this case, the father skipping his turn gives him immunity for that night, and they can safely survive it by covering themselves with defenses from head to toe. Given that attacks did occur, we can assume that: 1. The father had immunity in the first night; 2. And/or not all, or part of, the Mafia were not immune players. In general, there is a high probability that the father is among the immune players, and perhaps a couple more Mafia members as well. Of course, there are assumptions and probabilities for everything; the Mafia could have been assigned to four immune players, and they simply went on the attack without thinking or deliberately not bothering with it. But absolute certainty is usually a luxury and a bourgeois excess. By the way, there haven't been any posts yet about the three two immune players. The game is complex, and there's nothing to latch onto, and everyone has their own temperament for playing, but in my mind, one thing can't help but connect to another.
My sword, my trusted ally, unphased by my aspect.