Posts from Mafia 40. In the Name of the Emperor Auto-translated

Then I agree with Tox, it's more beneficial for the Mafia to recruit in the first night. There are no risks.

But recruitment is displayed in exactly the same way.

Actually, guys, even though I don't have enough data yet to make a decision, I'll say that if Spear is Mafia, it's not a big deal. If Lynx is Mafia, it's not a big deal. If Jack and Mold are Mafia, it's not a big deal at all.

Hooray, guys, he's not afraid of us, so let him vote someone else off, he's on our side!!11

Now, seriously: based on psychology and some other aspects (we need to tighten the OKDA rules), Tox is being identified as a Town member, and therefore he should NOT be voted off right now...
Cancel Tox's execution
Next: WTF? Okay, Mafia doesn't necessarily have to kill, but TWO NIGHT KILLS IS JUST LIKE REPLACING EMPTY WITH EMPTY, ISN'T IT?

Thumbs up for the notes, but did I miss something, or CAN CHECKERS REALLY WRITE INFO TO OKDA?

Added 1 minute ago
Read: it's forbidden to write who they're going after. Well, okay, that's fine. Then everything is okay).

The Necropolis faction sometimes had up to 3 Neutral dwellings. They managed just fine.

I'm turning off the sarcasm – Arandor isn't aggroing... =)

Heh, how amusing. At first, Tox didn't see me as the guy he used to play with, who was acting like a Mafia member. And then, SUDDENLY, after another vote was cast, I became that guy, and he started bringing up some rambling arguments about how I played with him here and there. I wonder why my Mafia-like behavior didn't immediately catch your eye, Tox? And point out where I'm being aggressive. I've always advocated for executing someone on the first day if the probabilities allow it. And now, changing tactics would not only have been revealing but also incredibly hypocritical in order to save my own skin.

Added 7 minutes later
But he could have easily said that he was voting out of self-defense, like "either me or you," and that would have been the most logical position. But this supposed sudden enlightenment doesn't look very convincing.

Jack, well, yes, now is the perfect time for that. And if you say that two non-disclosure agreements are not enough, then why even write about it?

Hi everyone. Well, I see that everything has already been discussed here. There's nothing to add. But I disagree with the "execution per unit" rule.

Guys, come on, let's vote to eliminate him, what are you waiting for? Let's vote, it's Toxinus, he's never a good guy, let's vote, I'm telling you, we can't hesitate, let's eliminate him now, one vote each, if we find out something later, it won't be a big loss, he's just a townie, but if he's Mafia, what a bonus it will be, right? Come on, guys, let's vote, let's vote for Toxinus, right now, no mercy, let's vote.

And who says that Tox isn't getting on people's nerves? Look, even Spira is complaining. Psychology and all that jazz)) Although, Tox seems to be hinting that he has a special ability to avoid death with a certain probability. That's how I understood it. It seems like he blurted out that he doesn't really need defense. Or am I being silly again)))

But no one is really defending Toxa. Either the Mafia decided to eliminate him, or there really isn't anyone who can stand up for him.

Lana NNV, guys, seriously? If Spiru likes executions by beheading, then let's just execute him on the first day.

But no one is really defending Toxa. Either the Mafia decided to sacrifice him, or there really isn't anyone to stand up for him.

Or they don't want to reveal themselves. More likely, they'll shift the attention to someone else. Like Lynx, for example. That's what Zubr tried to do. Or they'll say that executing someone in a single round isn't an option. And there were those who thought so.

Or they'll say that executing people block by block isn't an option.

:smile21:

Spear, everyone knows I love calculating probabilities. And realistically, each of the blocked players, except Lynx, could be 7 mafia roles and 6 town roles. (I used to say 6 and 6, but you and I could be investigators whose block comes first and who managed to block Lynx). I still think this is a big risk, considering how many of these town roles are important for the town. But I really don't like your behavior. I can't explain it specifically with examples, like Hostor would, because I'm not an expert in psychology, but overall, you seem suspicious to me, plus I strongly suspect that you would go after me if you were on the mafia team. Come on, Spear thinks Hostor, me, Morninga, Rimpel, and a couple of other people are strong; he told me this himself recently in private conversations between mafia rounds. Morninga is not in the game, and it's risky to kill Hostor and Rimpel, as they are loved by the doctor and protectors. Almost no one comes after me with good intentions, so I'm an ideal target for an attack. But the attacker was thwarted. I'm not claiming this is the absolute truth, but it's a quite possible scenario. In general, I'm not against an NVV (No Night Vote). It would be a shame if Spear turns out to be a townie. Moreover, this is a game with notes, and the more nights pass, the more information the town has. Well, gentlemen, who else is against me? Well, Vistrit and Kitz - that's understandable - personal dislike. If the first one might be mafia and trying to eliminate me for these reasons, then Kitsunka probably just doesn't want to protect me. Plesen - his behavior is 100% mafia-like, but, damn, I remember how he played as the Atheist and I'm starting to doubt that... In short, I won't say anything about him. Reinhard - he interests me the most... Could this be a change in strategy from cautious, analytical mafia play to a rapid, attacking style? Or is he playing this way as a townie? In principle, I think it would be good if investigators checked him out. What do you think, guys?

Does the description also cover unsuccessful recruitment attempts, such as when the chances of success are low, or does it also include cases where recruitment is impossible? Just to be sure. Calculating it this way is actually very useful.