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Posts from 2018 FIFA World Cup Prediction Contest

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In reply to Wicc
8 years ago
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Wicc
The bias towards predicting the outcome is quite fair. Imagine this: your neighbor Vasya correctly predicted 3 outcomes, while your neighbor Petya correctly predicted 1 score and made 2 incorrect outcome predictions. Who would you consider to be more knowledgeable about football?
I'll reiterate my point, using your example.
If Vasya correctly predicts the outcome with a coefficient of 1.3 in 3 out of 5 games, then in a real betting shop, he will be at a loss. And professional players affectionately call such "football experts" (who bet on favorites and gradually lose money) "suckers." And that's logical – guessing what is already obvious to everyone is not a great achievement.
But if Petya correctly predicts the score of an outcome with a coefficient greater than 5 in 1 out of 5 games (and the coefficient for the exact score would be around 20-30, or even 100), then in a real betting scenario, he will be in a very large profit.
Therefore, the point system in this competition is very far from a "competition mode," and it's too late to look for "correctness" here.
It's a kind of compromise, more or less reasonable, and what you propose – a "fair" bias towards predicting the outcome – is also an illusion, perhaps even further from a "competition mode."
In reply to Dirty_Player
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8 years ago
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France-Australia 3-0
Argentina-Iceland 3-1
Peru-Denmark 1-1
Croatia-Nigeria 2-0
Costa Rica-Serbia 1-2
Germany-Mexico 2-0
Brazil-Switzerland 4-1
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8 years ago
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Argentina-Iceland 3-0
Peru-Denmark 1-2
Croatia-Nigeria 2-1
Costa Rica-Serbia 1-1
Germany-Mexico 3-1
Brazil-Switzerland 3-0
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8 years ago
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For Mexico!!
Germany - Mexico 1-2
No need to spoil the table just to "report" it.
8 years ago
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Costa Rica - Serbia 3-1
Brazil - Switzerland 2-1
Germany - Mexico 1-1
8 years ago
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Costa Rica - Serbia 0-1
Germany - Mexico 2-0
Brazil - Switzerland 3-0
8 years ago
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Costa Rica - Serbia 0:1
Germany - Mexico 3:1
Brazil - Switzerland 0:0
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8 years ago
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Costa Rica - Serbia 0:2
Germany - Mexico 2:1
Brazil - Switzerland 4:0
8 years ago
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I've updated the table, please check it. I plan to update the table with the total scores after each round. Right now, groups G and H are finishing their matches, and I'll update it then. Regarding the grading of results, I'm not very familiar with Excel. If someone can tell me how to do it, I will.
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8 years ago
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Sweden – South Korea 0:0
Belgium – Panama 2:1
Tunisia – England 1:0

Colombia – Japan 2:1
Poland – Senegal 2:1
Russia – Egypt 1:1
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8 years ago
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Costa Rica - Serbia 1:1
Germany - Mexico 2:0
Brazil - Switzerland 2:0

Added 23 minutes ago
Iamsamstan
I updated the table, check it out)
I'm missing a point for Croatia's win. And the predicted score is different.
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8 years ago
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Sweden – South Korea 1:2
Belgium – Panama 3:1
Tunisia – England 0:2
Colombia – Japan 2:2
Poland – Senegal 1:2
Russia – Egypt 2:2
In reply to Sevan_80
8 years ago
Costa Rica 0:1 Serbia
Brazil 1:0 Switzerland
Germany 1:0 Mexico
Sweden 0:0 South Korea
Belgium 2:0 Panama
Tunisia 0:1 England
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8 years ago
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Costa Rica - Serbia 0:1
Germany - Mexico 2:0
Brazil - Switzerland 2:0

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